2.10: 1.5 points Each Way Skanidburg @ 10/1
& 1.5 points Each Way Dream Berry @ 16/1 (Betfair 1/5th odds 6 places)
The Pertemps is a favourite race of mine and looking ahead to tomorrow I'm really optimistic these two selections will run big races in what is a typically competitive Pertemps Final.
Skandiburg didn't really appeal after his last race when winning at Cheltenham over course and distance. However the way he stayed on so well has got me thinking twice. He's got first time cheekpieces on tomorrow and is still looks to be on a relatively low handicap mark of 139. Based on how he has progressed this season over three miles I'm pretty sweet on him being a fair bit better than 139 by the end of the season.
Dream Berry looks an absolute classic Jonjo O'Neill plot! Two years ago he ran in the Martin Pipe off a mark of 143. This season he re-appeared after a long lay off to qualify for this race at Sandown. He travelled well and the form has been franked since with Go Whatever running well again since. Given the early money for him it is obvious that this has long been the plan. Conditions will suit and with Festival form in the bank I'm hopeful of a big run.
3.30:
**Already Advised**
1.5 points Each Way City Island @ 14/1 (William Hill 1/5th odds 3 places)
Click on the link below to see the view behind this selection. Most think that Paisley Park is unbeatable and they may be right. However this is The Festival and favourites get beaten as we saw with Defi Du Seuil in the Champion Chase. Many have tried and failed. City Island hasn't but did beat proven stayer Champ in last year's Ballymore. Therefore I'm hopeful he can go close.
4.10: 1 point Each Way Blazer @ 16/1 (William Hill 1/5th 5 places)
This looks a typically competitive renewal of the Brown Advisory. However most look exposed from a handicap mark perspective. Blazer has Festival form in the bank and has looked interesting on his last two runs having come back from a long lay off. He doesn't win that often, but given his connections, it wouldn't surprise if he has been primed for tomorrow.
5.30: 2 point Win Le Breuil @ 13/2 (Ladbrokes)
& 1.5 points Each Way Milan Native @ 12/1 (Bet Victor 1/5th odds 5 places)
The finale to Thursday is always a proper staying test and I've been keen on Le Breuil for some time. He outstayed Discorama in an epic battle in last year's National Hunt Chase and that form looks pretty decent with Discorama coming a close third in this year's Ultima off 147. Le Breuil has a mark of 145 and given how he has run some nice races this winter I'm of the view he has been aimed at the Spring Festivals and therefore should run a big race here tomorrow on what looks a lenient mark.
The other selection is a lightly raced novice for Gordon Elliott. He looks a proper staying sort and this will be his first chance to demonstrate that having run over no further than two and a half miles over fences. His last two runs behind smart opposition showed promise and it is notable that Gordon Elliott sends this novice into open company with a 7lb claimer. He looks really interesting and if he copes with the hustle and bustle of the race I think he will run a big race.
The Result
8.6 points made from 16 points staked.
Finally one at a big price not hitting the bar. Shame it had to come in the last but I'll take it. What a ride on Milan Native!!!
Total Stake: 136 points
Total P & L: 32.3 points
ROI: 23.75%
The Result
8.6 points made from 16 points staked.
Finally one at a big price not hitting the bar. Shame it had to come in the last but I'll take it. What a ride on Milan Native!!!
Total Stake: 136 points
Total P & L: 32.3 points
ROI: 23.75%
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